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A ceasefire in Lebanon ultimately prevented the possibility of war across the region.
ohTuesday Israel and Hezbollah Iran-backed armed groups in Lebanon agree to cease shooting– The agreement is a victory for outgoing President Joe Biden. It follows an unfortunate policy path throughout a disastrous year for the Middle East.
Since Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, the Biden administration’s goal in the Middle East has been to contain conflict. Such policies have certainly not been successful. The fighting spread to Lebanon and even led to an exchange of fire between Israel and Iran. Meanwhile Washington has given Israel a virtual carte blanche in Gaza. especially during the first few months of the war. In doing so It was involved in a war that caused heavy damage. Not only towards Hamas but also to the people of Gaza. Israeli attacks have already claimed lives. More than 44,000 Palestinian people, Most are civilians.and Diaspora Nearly all the population of 2.2 million people, many times, approximately Structure 66 percent Those that once stood on the Strip were damaged or destroyed. And in every step Israel determines the scope and nature of the conflict. Not only with the opposing side. But also Washington. This escalated until it almost culminated in a war with Iran.
Today, Washington has helped broker a ceasefire. Not in Gaza But in Lebanon and northern Israel If so Biden may leave office able to say he avoided a regional war that could be induced in the United States. and other countries
A likely agreement. will Hold it because it directly serves the interests of all parties involved. Hezbollah badly needs space to regroup. Israel has assassinated most political leaders and battlefield commanders, including Hassan Nasrallahand Very demolished of the arsenal of rockets and missiles The organization’s ability to command and control is undermined. And many of the best fighters were killed or seriously injured. Iran could use the pause to reconsider its national security strategy: Hezbollah is central to Iran’s offensive defense. But it turned out to be unable to successfully deter or fight Israel. The Lebanese armed forces cannot or will not launch large numbers of missiles at Israeli cities such as Haifa or strategic targets such as the Dimona nuclear reactor.
Israel is likely to welcome the ceasefire because it is also close to exhaustion. Weapons and equipment were depleted and troops were redundant. Although the insurgency in Gaza appears to be intensifying, Although gradually, Israel has achieved most of its most ambitious goals in Lebanon. and will gain little from continuing the conflict. It could risk a resurgence of Hezbollah if it overstays. In much the same way that Israel’s occupation of southern Lebanon between 1982 and 2000 led to the establishment of the organization in the first place.
negotiators led by the Biden administration. But also France and other countries can succeed. This is because both sides are clearly interested in ending the conflict. The war in Gaza has largely subsided. There, both sides—the Israeli government and the remaining leaders of Hamas—calculated that continued fighting would further their political interests.
On the contrary The Israeli military and public are eager to end the war with Hezbollah. Especially in an advantageous way. Hezbollah has suffered so much destruction that it is willing to agree with it. condition At one time it might have been considered shameful. Armed forces will withdraw troops and heavy equipment from southern Lebanon up to the Litani River. It is about 15 miles north of the Israeli border, as was originally required to comply with the 2006 U.N. resolution ending hostilities, and U.N. peacekeepers will fill the gap. maintain order and guarantee that Hezbollah will not return. Israel has agreed to withdraw from Lebanon in stages. But the agreement stipulates that Israel and Lebanon can still use Israeli officials have signaled that they view it as a license to attack Hezbollah. If they believe there has been a violation Ceasefire conditions The fact that Hezbollah and Iran agreed to this asymmetrical deal It shows the extent of Israel’s military advantage. and the decisiveness of victory in this round of battle
The Biden administration will hand Donald Trump a Middle East that is still smoldering but no longer close to exploding. Trump’s minions Already unusual attempts are being made to suggest that his re-election is the main reason for the ceasefire. Biden’s Gaza war policy is untenable and inappropriate for failing to prevent Israel’s invasion of Lebanon. But the president will leave office as an achievement in a deal that would forestall the possibility of a large-scale, multi-front regional war in the Middle East.
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